Agents can't enable recursive self‑improvement

A new paper had authors hand agents accepted-but-unpublished NeurIPS papers (evaluated by the original authors); Codex/GPT-5.6 Sol and OpenClaw/Opus 4.8 failed to reproduce open-ended ML research. The authors argue this implies current agents cannot drive recursive self‑improvement (RSI), questioning near‑term explosive AI progress.

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